Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-19 2.562383 2.684745 2.812683 2.956949 3.115748 3.285959 3.483205
2025-10-26 2.367632 2.537053 2.722057 2.940926 3.195302 3.484885 3.844398
2025-11-02 2.202472 2.399904 2.622717 2.896485 3.229240 3.628317 4.156107
2025-11-09 2.035580 2.244282 2.485409 2.790020 3.173063 3.651761 4.319015
2025-11-16 1.910972 2.127505 2.382642 2.712704 3.140348 3.695185 4.508196
2025-11-23 1.833508 2.060665 2.333530 2.695037 3.178046 3.830158 4.840274
2025-11-30 1.774388 2.011513 2.301458 2.694295 3.234956 3.994453 5.241274
2025-12-07 1.705761 1.946152 2.244026 2.654545 3.232732 4.071207 5.516405
2025-12-14 1.626303 1.863119 2.159082 2.571520 3.161344 4.035298 5.593912
2025-12-21 1.598887 1.844586 2.156198 2.598920 3.249414 4.251703 6.158416
2025-12-28 1.575884 1.830200 2.157315 2.630897 3.345739 4.492405 6.832538
2026-01-04 1.515288 1.764256 2.086207 2.555694 3.271832 4.439157 6.892013
2026-01-11 1.472062 1.723599 2.052804 2.540809 3.303414 4.594345 7.508363
2026-01-18 1.448230 1.707944 2.053152 2.575988 3.419933 4.925594 8.708728
2026-01-25 1.412022 1.674165 2.026657 2.569312 3.467614 5.139786 9.755999
2026-02-01 1.358613 1.615019 1.961747 2.499832 3.401864 5.117966 10.104686
2026-02-08 1.313572 1.565755 1.908814 2.445787 3.358266 5.136280 10.616462
2026-02-15 1.285091 1.538164 1.885573 2.436549 3.392824 5.328691 11.925429
2026-02-22 1.261998 1.517070 1.870573 2.439091 3.448610 5.581247 13.798870
2026-03-01 1.230906 1.483686 1.836105 2.407898 3.438213 5.676872 15.102015
2026-03-08 1.191290 1.437191 1.780687 2.339611 3.351613 5.571287 15.212530
2026-03-15 1.178915 1.428680 1.781083 2.363160 3.444224 5.938903 18.961908
2026-03-22 1.168124 1.421945 1.783668 2.390262 3.546825 6.365807 25.006038